{"id":268,"date":"2021-12-17T11:29:41","date_gmt":"2021-12-17T11:29:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.richardappelbom.se\/?p=268"},"modified":"2021-12-17T11:29:42","modified_gmt":"2021-12-17T11:29:42","slug":"ar-boris-johnson-pa-fallrepet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.richardappelbom.se\/index.php\/2021\/12\/17\/ar-boris-johnson-pa-fallrepet\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c4r Boris Johnson p\u00e5 fallrepet?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"
Det blir ingen “merry” Christmas f\u00f6r premi\u00e4rminister Boris Johnson <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Storbritanniens premi\u00e4rminister Boris Johnson har anledning att dra sig till minnes citatet “en vecka kan vara en l\u00e5ng tid i politiken”. Det styrande konservativa Torypartiet f\u00f6rlorade ett fyllnadsval till Liberaldemokraterna i North Shropshire med <\/a>en av de st\u00f6rsta v\u00e4ljarstr\u00f6mmarna sedan 1945. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valkretsen har n\u00e4stan alltid tidigare r\u00f6stat konservativt, och i ordinarie valet hade Owen Paterson (C) en majoritet med 22000 r\u00f6ster. Liberaldemokraten Helen Morgan blev trea med 10 procent av r\u00f6sterna. Nu vann hon med 47 procent<\/a> av r\u00f6sterna och n\u00e4stan 7000 r\u00f6ster mer \u00e4n den konservative kandidaten Neil Shastri Hurst. En del socialdemokratiska Labourv\u00e4ljare l\u00e4r ha taktikr\u00f6stat p\u00e5 Morgan, Labours st\u00f6d mer \u00e4n halverades till 10 procent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bara n\u00e5gra dagar tidigare att m\u00e5nga Toryledam\u00f6ter g\u00e5tt emot den egna partilinjen och r\u00f6stat mot inf\u00f6randet av krav p\u00e5 vaccinpass. Regeringen fick majoritet genom att Labourpartiet st\u00f6dde de nya restriktionerna, f\u00f6r\u00f6dmjukande f\u00f6r Boris Johnson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Missn\u00f6jet har vuxit i det egna partiet<\/a> efter uppgifter om julfester f\u00f6rra \u00e5ret i premi\u00e4rministerbostaden och kontoret Downing Street. Owen Paterson, tidigare minister och anh\u00e4ngare av Brexit, avgick efter att ha f\u00e5tt kritik f\u00f6r att ut\u00f6ver parlamentsl\u00f6nen ha ett mycket v\u00e4lbetalt “extraarbete” som lobbyist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Johnsonregeringen f\u00f6rs\u00f6kte f\u00f6rst \u00e4ndra reglerna f\u00f6r att skydda Paterson, men tvingades backa. Det retade m\u00e5nga Toryledam\u00f6ter som egentligen inte gillade regeringens linje, men hade pressats av “inpiskarna” att r\u00f6sta “r\u00e4tt”. N\u00e4r sedan regeringen \u00e4nd\u00e5 snabbt backade framstod de i d\u00e5lig dager.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det finns ocks\u00e5 ett ideologiskt missn\u00f6je fr\u00e5n h\u00f6ger \u00f6ver att regeringen, bland annat f\u00f6r att beh\u00e5lla valkretsar de Konservativa vann fr\u00e5n Labour i f\u00f6rra valet, drivit en mitteninriktad ekonomisk politik med skatteh\u00f6jningar. Boris Johnson uppfattas \u00e4ven av m\u00e5nga av de egna som op\u00e5litlig och opportunistisk. Det har uppv\u00e4gts av charm, f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga att vinna val och att genomf\u00f6ra EU-uttr\u00e4det, men nu rasar f\u00f6rtroende f\u00f6r Johnson bland v\u00e4ljarna och Labour har tagit ledningen i opinionsm\u00e4tningarna<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brittiska v\u00e4ljare kan utnyttja fyllnadsval f\u00f6r att markera missn\u00f6je n\u00e4r regeringsmakten inte st\u00e5r p\u00e5 spel, men \u00e5terv\u00e4nda till “ordningen” i n\u00e4sta ordinarie val. Det \u00e4r d\u00e4rf\u00f6r f\u00f6r tidigt att d\u00f6ma ut Johnson och Tories, men det har varit en snabb f\u00f6r\u00e4ndring till det s\u00e4mre f\u00f6r premi\u00e4rministern och f\u00f6r De Konservativa. Uppfattas Johnson som en belastning kan partiet agera snabbt och h\u00e4nsynsl\u00f6st f\u00f6r att byta ledare. men d\u00e4r \u00e4r vi inte \u00e4nnu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Liberaldemokraterna verkar vara tillbaka som ett alternativ f\u00f6r missn\u00f6jda Toryv\u00e4ljare. Partiet f\u00f6rsvagades av koalitionen med De Konservativa. Valsystemet med enpersonsvalkretsar g\u00f6r det mycket sv\u00e5rt f\u00f6r ett mindre parti att klara sig i en koalition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EU-v\u00e4nliga Libdem blev identifierat som “Antibrexitpartiet” vilket gjorde det sv\u00e5rt att vinna valkretsar i mer EU-skeptiska delar av landet. Men 60 procent av v\u00e4ljarna i North Shropshire r\u00f6stade f\u00f6r Brexit, och \u00e4nd\u00e5 vann Libdem. Det kan f\u00f6rhoppningsvis leda till att Libdem kan \u00e5tervinna v\u00e4ljare i de tidigare styrkeb\u00e4ltena i v\u00e4stra England som Cornwall och Devon, med d\u00e4r EU-skepsisen var stark. Den som intresserar sig f\u00f6r k\u00f6nsf\u00f6rdelning i politiska f\u00f6rsamlingar kan notera att nio av Libdems 13 parlamentsledam\u00f6ter \u00e4r kvinnor.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Storbritannien och USA har b\u00e5da val i enpersonsvalkretsar, men tydliga skillnader framst\u00e5r mellan Tories och Republikanerna. I USA hetsar Donald Trump hittills framg\u00e5ngsrikt mot de Republikaner som st\u00e5r upp mot hans demagogi, medan Boris Johnson riskerar att avs\u00e4ttas av de egna parlamentsledam\u00f6terna. Varf\u00f6r?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I en parlamentarisk demokrati kan partiledare\/premi\u00e4rministrar avs\u00e4ttas under p\u00e5g\u00e5ende mandatperiod. Det g\u00f6r dem mer beroende av det egna partiet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ett annat sk\u00e4l kan paradoxalt nog vara att Storbritannien inte har prim\u00e4rval, d\u00e4r v\u00e4ljarna r\u00f6star fram partiets kandidat. I USA kan Trump st\u00f6dja utmanare mot ledam\u00f6ter han inte uppfattar som tillr\u00e4ckligt lojala. I Storbritannien utses parlamentskandidater av de lokala partimedlemmarna. ledam\u00f6ter med l\u00e5ng erfarenhet och st\u00f6d av medlemmarna i den egna valkretsen kan d\u00e5 l\u00e4ttare st\u00e5 emot hot fr\u00e5n partiledningen. Storbritanniens partisystem \u00e4r d\u00e4rf\u00f6r mer robust, demagogiska ledare har sv\u00e5rare att f\u00e5 kontroll \u00f6ver det egna partiet. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Storbritanniens premi\u00e4rminister Boris Johnson har anledning att dra sig till minnes citatet “en vecka kan vara en l\u00e5ng tid i politiken”. Det styrande konservativa Torypartiet f\u00f6rlorade ett fyllnadsval till Liberaldemokraterna i North Shropshire med en av de st\u00f6rsta v\u00e4ljarstr\u00f6mmarna sedan 1945. Valkretsen har n\u00e4stan alltid tidigare r\u00f6stat konservativt, och i ordinarie valet hade Owen Paterson […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-allman-inlagg"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00c4r Boris Johnson p\u00e5 fallrepet? - Richard Appelbom<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Premi\u00e4rminister Boris Johnson hotas av ett katastrofalt nederlag f\u00f6r Tories till Libdem i ett fyllnadsval. \u00c4r det b\u00f6rjan p\u00e5 en comeback f\u00f6r Liberaldemokraterna?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.richardappelbom.se\/index.php\/2021\/12\/17\/ar-boris-johnson-pa-fallrepet\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00c4r Boris Johnson p\u00e5 fallrepet? 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