{"id":416,"date":"2023-07-22T09:16:56","date_gmt":"2023-07-22T09:16:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.richardappelbom.se\/?p=416"},"modified":"2023-07-22T09:16:57","modified_gmt":"2023-07-22T09:16:57","slug":"nya-nederlag-for-tories-i-fyllnadsval","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.richardappelbom.se\/index.php\/2023\/07\/22\/nya-nederlag-for-tories-i-fyllnadsval\/","title":{"rendered":"Nya nederlag f\u00f6r Tories i fyllnadsval"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Premi\u00e4rminister Rishi Sunak med Steve Tuckwell, som vann fyllnadsvalet i Uxbridge f\u00f6r De Konservativa. I tv\u00e5 andra valkretsar blev det svidande f\u00f6rluster. Foto: Konservativa partiet<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Premi\u00e4rminister Rishi Sunak och det Konservativa partiet ligger illa till. Torypartiet har regerat i 13 \u00e5r, de f\u00f6rsta fem \u00e5ren i koalition med Liberaldemokraterna. V\u00e4ljarmajoriteteten verkar vilja ha ett skifte, och partiet har l\u00e4nge haft inre slitningar. Nu blev det tre fyllnadsval <\/a>efter attt konservativa ledam\u00f6ter, f\u00f6rre premi\u00e4rmiinistern Boris Johnson och tv\u00e5 andra, hade avg\u00e5tt i f\u00f6rtid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I de tv\u00e5 valkretsar d\u00e4r Tories i f\u00f6rra valet hade massiva majoriteter gick mandaten f\u00f6rlorade. I Selby i Norra England vann Labour trots att De konservativa i f\u00f6rra valet hade 20 000 r\u00f6ster mer. Det \u00e4r den st\u00f6rsta majoritet ett parti har f\u00f6rlorat i ett fyllnadsval sedan 1945.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Liberaldemokraterna vann Somerton, d\u00e4r De konservativas majoritet var n\u00e4stan lika stor (19 000), och fick 11 000 mer r\u00f6ster \u00e4n Tories (21000 mot 10000). Med nya ledamoten Sarah Dyke \u00e4r 10 av Libdems 15 ledam\u00f6ter kvinnor. En snabb f\u00f6r\u00e4ndring, efter katastrofvalet 2015 bestod parlamentsgruppen bara av m\u00e4n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De Konservativa lyckades d\u00e4remot med knapp marginal beh\u00e5lla tidigare premi\u00e4rminister Boris Johnsons valkrets Uxbridge, trots att majoriteten var betydligt mindre d\u00e4r. Det f\u00f6rklaras fr\u00e4mst med att v\u00e4ljare var missn\u00f6jda med Londons Labourborgm\u00e4stares Sadiq Khans zoner d\u00e4r bilister<\/a> som k\u00f6r bilar med stora utsl\u00e4pp f\u00e5r betala avgifter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valdeltagandet \u00e4r l\u00e4gre i fyllnadsval och v\u00e4ljare kan utnyttja tillf\u00e4llet att visa sitt missn\u00f6je med regeringen. De konservativa kan d\u00e4rf\u00f6r hoppas p\u00e5 b\u00e4ttre resultat n\u00e4r det blir val i hela landet, med all sannolikhet n\u00e4sta \u00e5r. Men partiet har en l\u00e4ngre tid haft usla opinionssiffror, s\u00e5 det mesta tyder p\u00e5 regeringsskifte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r d\u00e5 om Labour kan f\u00e5 egen majoritet eller beh\u00f6ver st\u00f6d av Libdem. I s\u00e5 fall kan partiet st\u00e4lla best\u00e4mda krav p\u00e5 att \u00e4ndra valsystemet, n\u00e5got som skulle f\u00e5 stora konsekvenser f\u00f6r brittisk politik. N\u00e4r LibDem regerade med Tories schabblades fr\u00e5gan bort, och r\u00f6stades ned i en folkomr\u00f6stning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men i med dagens enpersonsvalkretsar g\u00e4ller det att bli st\u00f6rsta parti. LibDem hade Somerton 1997-2015, och var fram till kastastrofen 2015 starka i sydv\u00e4stra England. De kan nu hoppas p\u00e5 att vinna tillbaka valkretsar d\u00e4r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brexit verkar ha minskat i betydelse. I den valkrets Labour vann r\u00f6stade 57 procent f\u00f6r Brexit. I Somerton v\u00e4gde det j\u00e4mnt, men i andra valkretsar i sydv\u00e4sta England var det \u00f6vervikt f\u00f6r Brexit, vilket skadade de mycket EU-v\u00e4nliga LibDem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De Konservativa klarade sig i Uxbridge genom att kritisera milj\u00f6regler som kostar pengar f\u00f6r “vanligt folk”, lite av en parallell med debatten om reduktionsplikten i Sverige. Flera anh\u00e4ngare till Tories menar att enda chansen i n\u00e4sta val \u00e4r att \u00f6verge dagens milj\u00f6m\u00e5l<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r dags att byta regering, men en mycket stor f\u00f6rlust f\u00f6r Tories kan f\u00e5 negativa f\u00f6ljder. Rishi Sunak har f\u00f6rt en f\u00f6rsiktig och realistisk ekonomisk politik och f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttrat relationen till EU. Efter ett katastrofval vore risken p\u00e5taglig att De Konservativa v\u00e4ljer en mer uttalat h\u00f6gerpopulistisk politik och att de ansvarsk\u00e4nnande i partiet f\u00f6rsvagas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Premi\u00e4rminister Rishi Sunak med Steve Tuckwell, som vann fyllnadsvalet i Uxbridge f\u00f6r De Konservativa. I tv\u00e5 andra valkretsar blev det svidande f\u00f6rluster. Foto: Konservativa partiet Premi\u00e4rminister Rishi Sunak och det Konservativa partiet ligger illa till. Torypartiet har regerat i 13 \u00e5r, de f\u00f6rsta fem \u00e5ren i koalition med Liberaldemokraterna. V\u00e4ljarmajoriteteten verkar vilja ha ett skifte, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-416","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-allman-inlagg"],"yoast_head":"\nNya nederlag f\u00f6r Tories i fyllnadsval - Richard Appelbom<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"De Konservativa \u00e4r illa ute efter tre fyllnadsval. 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