{"id":450,"date":"2023-10-19T07:27:03","date_gmt":"2023-10-19T07:27:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.richardappelbom.se\/?p=450"},"modified":"2023-10-19T07:36:35","modified_gmt":"2023-10-19T07:36:35","slug":"polackerna-rostade-for-forandring-och-nystart","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.richardappelbom.se\/index.php\/2023\/10\/19\/polackerna-rostade-for-forandring-och-nystart\/","title":{"rendered":"Polackerna r\u00f6stade f\u00f6r f\u00f6r\u00e4ndring och nystart"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Valet till sejmen. K\u00e4lla: Wikipedia Polska valkommissionen<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valresultatet i Polen borde ha varit ganska v\u00e4ntat. Efter att ha styrt i tv\u00e5 mandatperioder \u00e4r det inte ovanligt att v\u00e4ljarna tr\u00f6ttnar och r\u00f6star fram en alternativ regering. Men Polen var inte som andra demokratier. Det styrande Lag och R\u00e4ttvisa (PiS) anklagades f\u00f6r att underminera demokratin genom att politisera domstolar och dominera medier. Det nationalistiska PiS hade st\u00e4ndiga gr\u00e4l med EU, bland annat om r\u00e4ttsstatens principer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e4rf\u00f6r var den klara segern<\/a> f\u00f6r oppositionen viktig och mer \u00f6verraskande \u00e4n ett liknande resultat i mer stabila demokratier. Valdeltagandet har ocks\u00e5 \u00f6kat \u00f6ver tid. 2019 var det 51 procent, 2019 var det 62 procent och 2023 r\u00f6stade 74 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det polska valsystemet har en stor p\u00e5verkan p\u00e5 valresultatet. I sejmen, andra kammaren som avg\u00f6r regeringsmakten, \u00e4r valsystemet proportionellt, men inte fullt ut. Det finns inga utj\u00e4mningsmandat, vilket gynnar st\u00f6rre partier. Sp\u00e4rrgr\u00e4nsen \u00e4r fem procent f\u00f6r partier och \u00e5tta procent f\u00f6r allianser. I den f\u00f6rsta kammaren senaten \u00e4r det enpersonsvalkretsar d\u00e4r den med flest r\u00f6ster vinner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

PiS har haft f\u00f6ljande valresultat 2015 37,6 procent, 2019 43,6 och 2023 35,4 procent. I de tv\u00e5 f\u00f6rsta valen fick PiS egen majoritet i sejmen, trots att partiet 2015 bara hade tv\u00e5 procentenheter h\u00f6gre r\u00f6standel \u00e4n 2023! Det berodde p\u00e5 att flera partier 2015<\/a> inte klarade sp\u00e4rrgr\u00e4nsen och deras r\u00f6ster d\u00e5 inte alls p\u00e5verkade mandatf\u00f6rdelningen. En v\u00e4nsterallians fick 7,5 procent och tv\u00e5 partier 4,8 respektive 3,6 procent. Genom att n\u00e4rmare 20 procent r\u00f6stade p\u00e5 partier som inte klarade sp\u00e4rren och valsystemets gynnande av st\u00f6rre partier r\u00e4ckte 37,6 procent till egen majoritet! 2019 fick PiS 43,6 procent.<\/a> D\u00e5 var det f\u00e5 r\u00f6ster som gick till partier som inte klarade sp\u00e4rren, men valsystemets gynnande av st\u00f6rre partier r\u00e4ckte f\u00f6r att ge PiS egen majoritet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I senaten gick oppositionen redan 2019 samman om gemensamma kandidater, villet gjorde att den fick majoritet. samma sak h\u00e4nde 2023, och majoriteten st\u00e4rktes. Det visar att v\u00e4ljarna i Polen \u00e4r polariserade f\u00f6r elelr emot PiS. I andra l\u00e4nder har det varit sv\u00e5rt f\u00f6r brokiga allianser att besegra maktpartier, men h\u00e4r verkar v\u00e4ljarmajoriteten ha tyckt det vara viktigast att r\u00f6sta bort PiS, \u00e4ven om det egna partiet inte hade n\u00e5gon egen kandidat i valkretser. Polen verkar ocks\u00e5 geografiskt splittrat. Den segrande oppositionen \u00e4r starkare i st\u00e4der och i v\u00e4stra Polen, PiS i \u00f6stra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4ven 2023 gynnades PiS av valsystemet: 35,4 procent r\u00e4ckte till 194 mandat, 42 procent av de 460 sejmmandaten. Men \u00e4ven det stora oppositionspartiet Medborgaralliansen, som fick 30,7 procent, gynnades av valsystemet och fick 157 mandat, 34 procent av mandaten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valaystem kan vara avg\u00f6rande f\u00f6r att hindra makthungriga st\u00f6rre partier fr\u00e5n att f\u00e5 egen majoritet. Polen borde inf\u00f6ra utj\u00e4mningsmandat, och fundera \u00f6ver om preferensr\u00f6stning, d\u00e4r v\u00e4ljarna kan rangordna partier och om f\u00f6rstahandsvalet inte kommer in f\u00f6rs r\u00f6sten \u00f6ver till andrahandsvalet. Den h\u00e4r g\u00e5ngen hade det dock inte haft n\u00e5gon st\u00f6rre betydelse, d\u00e5 f\u00e5 r\u00f6stade p\u00e5 sm\u00e5partier. Men 2015 hade det kunnat betyda desto mer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oppositionen \u00e4r \u00f6verens om att st\u00e4rka demokratin i Polen, viktigt efter \u00e5tta \u00e5rs PiS styre. Relationen till EU l\u00e4r bli betydligt b\u00e4ttre. Sedan f\u00e5r vi se<\/a> vad den i \u00f6vrigt kan enas om. Det kan bli en sv\u00e5rare uppgift. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Valet till sejmen. K\u00e4lla: Wikipedia Polska valkommissionen Valresultatet i Polen borde ha varit ganska v\u00e4ntat. Efter att ha styrt i tv\u00e5 mandatperioder \u00e4r det inte ovanligt att v\u00e4ljarna tr\u00f6ttnar och r\u00f6star fram en alternativ regering. Men Polen var inte som andra demokratier. Det styrande Lag och R\u00e4ttvisa (PiS) anklagades f\u00f6r att underminera demokratin genom att […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-allman-inlagg"],"yoast_head":"\nPolackerna r\u00f6stade f\u00f6r f\u00f6r\u00e4ndring och nystart - Richard Appelbom<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Oppositionen svann valet i Polen, trots auktorit\u00e4ra tendenser hos styrande PiS. 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