{"id":507,"date":"2024-06-10T13:33:31","date_gmt":"2024-06-10T13:33:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.richardappelbom.se\/?p=507"},"modified":"2024-06-10T13:56:55","modified_gmt":"2024-06-10T13:56:55","slug":"valvinden-blaste-mest-at-hoger-men-ocksa-at-vanster-i-eu-valet-ofta-mot-regeringar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.richardappelbom.se\/index.php\/2024\/06\/10\/valvinden-blaste-mest-at-hoger-men-ocksa-at-vanster-i-eu-valet-ofta-mot-regeringar\/","title":{"rendered":"Valvinden bl\u00e5ste mest \u00e5t h\u00f6ger men ocks\u00e5 \u00e5t v\u00e4nster i EU-valet. Ofta mot regeringar."},"content":{"rendered":"\n

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H\u00f6gerpopulister st\u00e4rktes i EU-valet, men inte i Norden. Bild: rawpixel.com<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EU-valet har mycket makt, EU-parlamentariker best\u00e4mmer mer och har mer handlingsfrihet \u00e4n nationella parlamentariker. Men \u00e4nd\u00e5 \u00e4r valdeltagandet l\u00e4gre \u00e4n i nationella val, vilket undergr\u00e4ver den folkliga legitimiteten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I Sverige tydde m\u00e4tningar p\u00e5 att valdeltagandet skulle \u00f6ka fr\u00e5n 2019, d\u00e5 det var 55 ptrocent. Men s\u00e5 blev det inte, ist\u00e4llet var det <\/a>prelimin\u00e4ra valdeltagandet 50,7 procent. I \u00f6vriga EU<\/a> var det v\u00e4ldigt olika uppslutning, bortr\u00e4knat l\u00e4nder( som Belgien) vilka (i teorin) har obligatoriskt r\u00f6stande. I Norden var Danmark h\u00f6gst med 58 procent, tv\u00e5a Sverige p\u00e5 n\u00e4rmare 51 procent, medan Finland bara hade ett valdeltagande p\u00e5 40 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tyskland l\u00e5g h\u00f6gt med 65 procent, andra stora l\u00e4nder som Frankrike, Italien och Spanien hade runt 50 procent. I flera l\u00e4nder i \u00d6steuropa var valdeltagandet betydligt l\u00e4gre. S\u00e4mst var Kroatien med 21 procent, men Slovakien och de baltiska staterna l\u00e5g en bra bit under 40 procent. Polen hade 40,6 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det talades i f\u00f6rv\u00e4g mycket om att populistpartier till h\u00f6ger skulle g\u00e5 fram. S\u00e5 blev det ocks\u00e5, fr\u00e4mst i stora l\u00e4nder som Tyskland, Italien och Frankrike. Trots flera skandaler blev AfD i Tyskland andra st\u00f6rsta parti med 15,9 procent. Socialdemokratiska SPD fick bara 14 procent och De Gr\u00f6na 12 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I Frankrike blev Marine Le Pens Nationell samling klart st\u00f6rsta parti med 31,4 procent. President Macron tog bakslaget s\u00e5 allvarligt att nyval till parlamentet utlystes. Macron hoppas att valkampanjen ska visa att NS har ett ih\u00e5ligt budskap, men det \u00e4r en stor chanstagning. I Italien blev premi\u00e4rminister Giorgia Melonis parti Italiens br\u00f6der, med r\u00f6tter i fascismen, st\u00f6rst. Ryssv\u00e4nliga FP\u00d6 i \u00d6sterrike blev st\u00f6rsta parti med 25,7 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bilden \u00e4r dock inte entydig. PVV i Nederl\u00e4nderna gick fram\u00e5t, men mindre \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat. I de nordiska l\u00e4nderna gick SD i Sverige och Sannfinl\u00e4ndarna i Finland bak\u00e5t, och i Danmark \u00e4r dansk folkeparti en skugga av sitt forna jag. I st\u00e4llet \u00f6kade Socialistisk folkeparti, V\u00e4nsterpartiet och finska V\u00e4nsterf\u00f6rbundet kraftigt. SF blev st\u00f6rre \u00e4n danska Scialdemokraterna. I Sverige gjorde \u00e4ven Milj\u00f6partiet ett bra val.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I det forna \u00d6steurpa \u00e4r bilden splittrad, men det fanns ingen h\u00f6gerpopulistisk v\u00e5g. I Ungerns gick Viktor Orbans Fidescz tillbaka, \u00e4ven om det alltj\u00e4mt \u00e4r st\u00f6rsta parti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valdeltagande och nationell politik spelar in. Missn\u00f6jespartier kan missgynnas av l\u00e4gre valdeltagande, deras v\u00e4ljare kan vara mer misstrogna och mindre r\u00f6stben\u00e4gna. V\u00e4ljare kan ocks\u00e5 vara beredda att chansa mer n\u00e4r regeringsmakten inte st\u00e5r p\u00e5 spel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Synen p\u00e5 den nationella regeringen spelar in. I Tyskland och Frankrike har regeringen suttit ett tag och \u00e4r impopul\u00e4ra. Det \u00f6ppnar f\u00f6r h\u00f6gerpopulsiter, men ocks\u00e5 kristdemokratiska CDU gjorde ett bra val i Tyskland. Italiens br\u00f6der har inte styrt s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge och Meloni har framst\u00e5tt som en skicklig regeringschef.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Polens nya regering har kvar f\u00f6rtroende och fick fler r\u00f6ster \u00e4n det tidigare styrande h\u00f6gerpopulistiska Lag och r\u00e4ttvisa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I Sverige och Finland styr h\u00f6gerkoalitioner, antingen som i Sverige med st\u00f6d av SD eller som i Finland d\u00e4r Sannfinl\u00e4ndarna \u00e4r med i regeringen. V\u00e4ljare kunde passa p\u00e5 att markera mot regeringarna i EU-valet. i nationella m\u00e4tningar<\/a> \u00e4r resultaten annorlunda. V\u00e4nsterf\u00f6rbundets starka uppg\u00e5ng syns inte, och finska Socialdemokraterna \u00e4r d\u00e4r st\u00f6rsta parti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I Danmark styr den breda mitten med S, Venstre (h\u00f6gerliberalt) och Moderaterne, en utbrytning fr\u00e5n Venstre. Koalitionen hade \u00f6ver 50 proent i senaste folketingsvalet, men har betydligt s\u00e4mre opinonssiffror. <\/a>Nu blev regeringens bristande st\u00f6d tydligt i EU-valet, d\u00e5 partierna sammantaget bara fick 36 procent av r\u00f6sterna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Liberalkonservativa\/kristdemokratiska gruppen EPP klarade sig b\u00e4ttre \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat,fick fler mandat och \u00e4r klart st\u00f6rst. Det talar f\u00f6r att den breda mitten av socialdemokrater, liberaler i Renew och konservativa i stort best\u00e5r. Men otvetydligt har EU-parlamentet g\u00e5tt \u00e5t h\u00f6ger, Gr\u00f6na och Liberaler har f\u00f6rlorat mandat. Vi f\u00e5r se hur det p\u00e5verkar sakfr\u00e5gor och detaljstyrning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

St\u00f6det till Ukarina \u00e4r avg\u00f6rande viktigt, i synnerhet om Donald Trump blir president i USA. H\u00e4r r\u00f6stade runt en fj\u00e4rdedel av v\u00e4ljarna i Tyskland och \u00d6sterrike, och n\u00e4rmare 50 procent i Frankrike ( Nationell samling, La France Fiere, Okuvliga Frankrike och en valallians med kommunisterna) p\u00e5 partier som vill ha en mukare attityd fr\u00e5n EU mot president Putins Ryssland. L\u00e5ngtifr\u00e5n en majoritet i tysktalande l\u00e4nder, men mycket delat i Frankrike. En annorlunda politisk verklighet \u00e4n i Sverige. Den g\u00e4ller det att se upp med.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

H\u00f6gerpopulister st\u00e4rktes i EU-valet, men inte i Norden. Bild: rawpixel.com EU-valet har mycket makt, EU-parlamentariker best\u00e4mmer mer och har mer handlingsfrihet \u00e4n nationella parlamentariker. Men \u00e4nd\u00e5 \u00e4r valdeltagandet l\u00e4gre \u00e4n i nationella val, vilket undergr\u00e4ver den folkliga legitimiteten. I Sverige tydde m\u00e4tningar p\u00e5 att valdeltagandet skulle \u00f6ka fr\u00e5n 2019, d\u00e5 det var 55 ptrocent. Men […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-507","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-allman-inlagg"],"yoast_head":"\nValvinden bl\u00e5ste mest \u00e5t h\u00f6ger men ocks\u00e5 \u00e5t v\u00e4nster i EU-valet. 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